O Ciclone Tropical Funso encontra-se ao largo do Arquipélago do Bazaruto, na região central do Canal de Moçambique e deverá continuar a sua trajectória em direcção sudeste, perdendo intensidade e não devendo haver mais impactos directos sobre a faixa costeira do sul de Moçambique. Abaixo insiro as últimas imagens de satélite, previsão para os próximos 5 dias e Aviso Público da Weather Underground. Esta é a minha última inserção de aviso público, a menos que se venham a prever novos impactos para a costa de Moçambique.
A imagem de satélite (from Weather Underground)
A previsão para os próximos 5 dias (from Weather Underground)
O Aviso Público (from Weather Underground)
remarks:
250900z position near 22.8s 38.7e.
Tropical cyclone (tc) 08s (funso), located approximately 385 nm east-
northeast of Maputo, Mozambique, has tracked south-southwestward at
04 knots over the past 06 hours. Animated multispectral satellite
imagery (msi) shows the completion of an eyewall replacement cycle
with a 15 nm eye. A 250338z ssmis 91ghz image depicts the eyewall
weakening on the southeastern quadrant, however msi is showing
improvement of the eyewall over the past 03 hours. The current
position is based on a well defined eye in msi. Intensity is based
on Dvorak estimates from pgtw indicating 120 knots. Upper level
analysis shows a self-induced meso-anticyclone over the low level
circulation center (LLCC) providing ample outflow aloft while
maintaining low vertical wind shear. Animated water vapor imagery
shows a weakening poleward outflow over the past 12 hours with a
region of upper level subsidence and the loss of outflow into
troughing located southeast of tc 08s. Radial outflow appears to be
improving along the equatorward outflow channel. Tc 08s continues to
track southwards under the influence of a north-south orientated
subtropical ridge to the east. Sea surface temperatures and ocean
heat content remain highly favorable until tc 08s reaches about 25
degrees south latitude. Model guidance continues to show a south-
southeastward track through tau 120. Increasing interaction with mid-
latitude westerlies will start extra-tropical transition around tau
96 and will be completed by tau 120. This forecast is consistent
with the consensus of available model guidance in the initial 36
hours but increases track speed in later Taus to be more
representative of a system undergoing extra-tropical transition.
Maximum significant wave height at 250600z is 32 feet.
Next warnings at 252100z and 260900z.//
Com uma referência especial à Weather Underground por permitir a partilha da sua informação.
